Towards the Ranking of the Importance of Revolutionary Destabilization Factors in Asian and African Countries Using Machine Learning Methods

Ivan Chernomorchenko, Ilya Medvedev, Andrey Korotayev, Center for Stability and Risk Analysis, HSE University, Center for Civilizational and Regional Studies, Institute for African Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Cross-Cultural Research: The Journal of Comparative Social Science

Published online on May 31, 2026

Abstract

Cross-Cultural Research, Ahead of Print.
This study investigates which structural factors most strongly predict armed and unarmed revolutionary destabilization across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), as well as Asia using country–year data for 1950–2022 and a ...