Electoral Forecasting in Volatile Party System Settings: Assessing and Improving Pre-Election Poll Predictions in Italy
Social Science Computer Review
Published online on March 24, 2025
Abstract
Social Science Computer Review, Ahead of Print.
This study examines electoral forecasting in volatile party systems, focusing on factors contributing to deviations between poll predictions and actual election outcomes. Using Italy as a case study, it identifies biases in polling data and proposes a ...
This study examines electoral forecasting in volatile party systems, focusing on factors contributing to deviations between poll predictions and actual election outcomes. Using Italy as a case study, it identifies biases in polling data and proposes a ...