A Hybrid Prediction Market Design for Scientific Replication Forecasting
Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting
Published online on October 18, 2025
Abstract
Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting, Volume 69, Issue 1, Page 1905-1909, September 2025.
Scientists increasingly worry that many high-profile experiments cannot be reproduced—a “replication crisis” that erodes confidence and drains research funds. Prediction markets can harness collective insight about which results will replicate, but ...
Scientists increasingly worry that many high-profile experiments cannot be reproduced—a “replication crisis” that erodes confidence and drains research funds. Prediction markets can harness collective insight about which results will replicate, but ...