Forecasting Peace Agreement Content: How Conflict Events Predict the Substance of Peace Settlements
Journal of Conflict Resolution
Published online on April 07, 2026
Abstract
Journal of Conflict Resolution, Ahead of Print.
Despite growing work on conflict forecasting, few studies predict conflict termination and none negotiation outcomes. We address this gap, assessing how well we can predict peace agreement content using conflict dynamics – particularly, insurgent distance ...
Despite growing work on conflict forecasting, few studies predict conflict termination and none negotiation outcomes. We address this gap, assessing how well we can predict peace agreement content using conflict dynamics – particularly, insurgent distance ...