MetaTOC stay on top of your field, easily

The Association between the 2021 Curfew on Criminal Behavior in Montreal: A Spatio-Temporal Study

Journal of Quantitative Criminology

Published online on

Abstract

{"__content__"=>"\n Objectives\n \n \n Methods\n \n \n Results\n \n \n Conclusions\n \n ", "p"=>[{"__content__"=>"This research examines the spatio-temporal associations between a curfew imposed in Quebec from January 9, 2021, to May 28, 2021, and crime patterns in Montreal. Specifically, it assesses (1) whether changes in crime levels are observed during the curfew period and how these patterns vary across crime types, and (2) whether the temporal organization and spatial distribution of crime differ during this period."}, {"__content__"=>"The study employs a quantitative design based on official crime data from the Montreal Police Department. Temporal and spatio-temporal analyses were conducted using 3D space-time cubes, a GIS-based method that enables the joint analysis of spatial and temporal dimensions of crime. In addition, linear mixed-effects models were estimated to examine weekly crime trends while accounting for seasonality and temporal dependence."}, {"__content__"=>"The findings indicate a temporary decline in total crime following the implementation of the curfew. A shift in the temporal distribution of crime is observed, with a greater concentration of offences occurring during curfew-free hours. At the weekly level, violent crime shows a modest reduction during the curfew period, while property crime exhibits a weaker and less consistent association that does not reach conventional levels of statistical significance. Disaggregated analyses by offender-victim relationship do not reveal clear differences in violent crime patterns between the curfew and broader COVID-19 periods. No evidence of substantial spatial displacement of crime associated with the curfew is observed."}, {"__content__"=>"By integrating spatial and temporal dimensions within a single analytical framework, the space-time cube approach provides a descriptive and nuanced account of crime patterns during the curfew period. Rather than identifying definitive effects, the analyses highlight short-term and heterogeneous variations in the timing and distribution of crime under conditions of restricted mobility. These findings underscore the value of spatio-temporal and descriptive approaches for documenting how crime patterns evolve during exceptional social and policy contexts, and they provide a foundation for future research using longer time frames or comparative designs."}]}